Game History
| Week |
Date |
Result |
Opponent |
Score |
ELO Before |
ELO Change |
ELO After |
Win Prob |
| 2 |
Aug 30 2025 |
L |
Washington
|
21-38 |
1426.1 |
-11.0
|
1415.1 |
17.0% |
| 3 |
Sep 6 2025 |
W |
Northern Colorado
|
21-17 |
1415.1 |
+0.0
|
1415.1 |
38.0% |
| 5 |
Sep 20 2025 |
L |
UTSA
|
16-17 |
1415.1 |
-46.5
|
1368.6 |
46.8% |
| 6 |
Sep 27 2025 |
L |
Washington State
|
3-20 |
1368.6 |
-47.7
|
1320.9 |
48.3% |
| 7 |
Oct 3 2025 |
L |
San Diego State
|
24-45 |
1320.9 |
-33.5
|
1287.4 |
47.1% |
| 8 |
Oct 10 2025 |
W |
Fresno State
|
49-21 |
1287.4 |
+62.0
|
1349.4 |
21.3% |
| 9 |
Oct 18 2025 |
L |
Hawai'i
|
19-31 |
1349.4 |
-39.2
|
1310.2 |
38.5% |
| 10 |
Oct 25 2025 |
L |
Wyoming
|
0-28 |
1310.2 |
-32.7
|
1277.5 |
46.1% |
| 12 |
Nov 8 2025 |
L |
UNLV
|
10-42 |
1277.5 |
-14.0
|
1263.5 |
12.6% |
| 13 |
Nov 15 2025 |
L |
New Mexico
|
17-20 |
1263.5 |
-15.3
|
1248.2 |
23.1% |
| 14 |
Nov 22 2025 |
L |
Boise State
|
21-49 |
1248.2 |
-7.9
|
1240.3 |
12.4% |
| 15 |
Nov 28 2025 |
L |
Air Force
|
21-42 |
1240.3 |
-39.7
|
1200.6 |
39.0% |